CRISISRADAR
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Version 2.0
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35 Countries
Pipeline:
NOMINAL
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Cycle: 2026-W19
CRISISRADAR
DASHBOARD
DAILY UPDATE
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Global Risk Dashboard
[ Risk Summary · 35 Countries · 5 Regions ]
2026-W19
Cycle 2026-W19
07 May–11 May
RISK SUMMARY — 2026-W19
35
COUNTRIES MONITORED
0 HIGH · 33 MODERATE · 2 LOW RISK
STATUS SPLIT · HIGH·MODERATE·LOW
›
0
·
33
·
2
HIGH-RISK UNCHANGED VS PREV
WORSENING
›
35
VS
0
IMPROVING · 0 STABLE
STATUS CHANGES
›
0
NONE THIS CYCLE
WORSE THAN EXPECTED
›
0
NO DEVIATIONS
LATEST UPDATE
22h
UPDATED 04:56 UTC
WHAT MOVED OVERNIGHT
2 ITEMS · CYCLE 26W19-A VS PREV
CALLOUT — DERIVED FROM Δ > THRESHOLD
AZERBAIJAN
Eastern Europe
IMPROVED ▼
▼
-3.0
VS PREV CYCLE · NOW
MODERATE 32.5
INDONESIA
South Asia
IMPROVED ▼
▼
-1.6
VS PREV CYCLE · NOW
MODERATE 41.5
›
COUNTRY RISK CHANGES
[ 33 COUNTRIES MOVED · 2 STABLE ]
24H
7D
30D
WORSENING — Last 7 Days
18 COUNTRIES
Country
From → To
Δ
Trend
Syria
Middle East & North Africa
43.1
→
47.4
▲
+4.3
Syria composite trend
Chad
Sub-Saharan Africa
53.4
→
57.6
▲
+4.2
Chad composite trend
Philippines
South Asia
41.2
→
44.8
▲
+3.6
Philippines composite trend
Bosnia and Herzegovina
Eastern Europe
38.7
→
42.3
▲
+3.6
Bosnia and Herzegovina composite trend
Niger
Sub-Saharan Africa
41.9
→
44.6
▲
+2.7
Niger composite trend
Ukraine
Eastern Europe
45.3
→
47.5
▲
+2.2
Ukraine composite trend
Somalia
Sub-Saharan Africa
49.4
→
50.8
▲
+1.4
Somalia composite trend
Lebanon
Middle East & North Africa
58.5
→
59.8
▲
+1.3
Lebanon composite trend
Indonesia
South Asia
40.3
→
41.5
▲
+1.2
Indonesia composite trend
Guyana
Latin America & Caribbean
35.8
→
37.0
▲
+1.2
Guyana composite trend
Georgia
Eastern Europe
41.4
→
42.2
▲
+0.8
Georgia composite trend
Nepal
South Asia
39.5
→
40.2
▲
+0.7
Nepal composite trend
Iraq
Middle East & North Africa
52.1
→
52.7
▲
+0.6
Iraq composite trend
Libya
Middle East & North Africa
47.1
→
47.7
▲
+0.6
Libya composite trend
Pakistan
South Asia
45.7
→
46.2
▲
+0.5
Pakistan composite trend
Myanmar
South Asia
60.5
→
60.9
▲
+0.4
Myanmar composite trend
DR Congo
Sub-Saharan Africa
46.9
→
47.2
▲
+0.3
DR Congo composite trend
Mali
Sub-Saharan Africa
65.3
→
65.5
▲
+0.2
Mali composite trend
IMPROVING — Last 7 Days
15 COUNTRIES
Country
From → To
Δ
Trend
South Sudan
Sub-Saharan Africa
67.0
→
61.1
▼
-5.9
South Sudan composite trend
Nigeria
Sub-Saharan Africa
55.5
→
49.9
▼
-5.6
Nigeria composite trend
Armenia
Eastern Europe
29.4
→
24.0
▼
-5.4
Armenia composite trend
Moldova
Eastern Europe
42.0
→
36.9
▼
-5.1
Moldova composite trend
Turks and Caicos Islands
Latin America & Caribbean
20.9
→
16.4
▼
-4.5
Turks and Caicos Islands composite trend
Iran
Middle East & North Africa
70.4
→
66.1
▼
-4.3
Iran composite trend
Azerbaijan
Eastern Europe
36.5
→
32.5
▼
-4.0
Azerbaijan composite trend
Taiwan
South Asia
36.8
→
34.4
▼
-2.4
Taiwan composite trend
Ethiopia
Sub-Saharan Africa
52.7
→
50.4
▼
-2.3
Ethiopia composite trend
Israel
Middle East & North Africa
48.5
→
46.3
▼
-2.2
Israel composite trend
Republic of Korea
South Asia
44.4
→
42.4
▼
-2.0
Republic of Korea composite trend
Egypt
Middle East & North Africa
36.7
→
34.8
▼
-1.9
Egypt composite trend
Eritrea
Sub-Saharan Africa
41.8
→
40.1
▼
-1.7
Eritrea composite trend
Venezuela
Latin America & Caribbean
47.6
→
46.7
▼
-0.9
Venezuela composite trend
Cameroon
Sub-Saharan Africa
47.2
→
46.8
▼
-0.4
Cameroon composite trend
›
Country Risk Matrix
[ 35 COUNTRIES · RISK SCORE 0–100, HIGHER IS WORSE · SORT: SCORE ↓ · CLICK TILE → DAILY UPDATE ]
Sort:
Score ↓
Score ↑
Name A–Z
Trajectory
Region
Risk band:
ALL
HIGH
MODERATE
LOW
Region:
ALL
Eastern Europe
Latin America & Caribbean
Middle East & North Africa
South Asia
Sub-Saharan Africa
Palestine
PSE
66.2
▲ WORSENING
MENA
▲ +0.4
P1·59
P2·70
P3·65
P4·71
Palestine 7-cycle composite history
Global risk trajectory
[ Last 30 days · 35 countries · 7-day regional MA ]
7D
14D
30D
90D
MENA
SSA
EEUR
LAC
SASIA
Country lines · off
AMBER 40
RED 70
30
50
60
MENA · 52.8
SSA · 51.8
EEUR · 38.2
LAC · 34.0
SASIA · 44.8
2026-04-12
2026-05-11
7-day MA · per region
AMBER 40 threshold
RED 70 threshold
Iran
IRN
66.1
▲ WORSENING
MENA
▼ -0.1
P1·67
P2·65
P3·67
P4·65
Iran 7-cycle composite history
Mali
MLI
65.5
▲ WORSENING
SSA
▼ -0.7
P1·70
P2·62
P3·71
P4·59
Mali 7-cycle composite history
South Sudan
SSD
61.1
▲ WORSENING
SSA
▲ +0.3
P1·64
P2·40
P3·70
P4·71
South Sudan 7-cycle composite history
Myanmar
MMR
60.9
▲ WORSENING
SASIA
▲ +0.2
P1·61
P2·55
P3·65
P4·63
Myanmar 7-cycle composite history
Lebanon
LBN
59.8
▲ WORSENING
MENA
▲ +1.3
P1·55
P2·57
P3·64
P4·64
Lebanon 7-cycle composite history
Chad
TCD
57.6
▲ WORSENING
SSA
▲ +0.2
P1·62
P2·49
P3·68
P4·51
Chad 7-cycle composite history
Iraq
IRQ
52.7
▲ WORSENING
MENA
P1·57
P2·40
P3·63
P4·51
Iraq 7-cycle composite history
Somalia
SOM
50.8
▲ WORSENING
SSA
▼ -0.5
P1·58
P2·41
P3·49
P4·55
Somalia 7-cycle composite history
Ethiopia
ETH
50.4
▲ WORSENING
SSA
▲ +0.3
P1·60
P2·32
P3·65
P4·45
Ethiopia 7-cycle composite history
Nigeria
NGA
49.9
▲ WORSENING
SSA
▼ -1.1
P1·54
P2·44
P3·57
P4·45
Nigeria 7-cycle composite history
Bangladesh
BGD
49.6
▲ WORSENING
SASIA
▲ +1.3
P1·51
P2·47
P3·53
P4·48
Bangladesh 7-cycle composite history
Libya
LBY
47.7
▲ WORSENING
MENA
▲ +0.8
P1·45
P2·50
P3·58
P4·38
Libya 7-cycle composite history
Ukraine
UKR
47.5
▲ WORSENING
EEUR
P1·44
P2·50
P3·58
P4·39
Ukraine 7-cycle composite history
Syria
SYR
47.4
▲ WORSENING
MENA
▲ +0.4
P1·46
P2·38
P3·54
P4·53
Syria 7-cycle composite history
DR Congo
COD
47.2
▲ WORSENING
SSA
▲ +0.4
P1·55
P2·35
P3·61
P4·39
DR Congo 7-cycle composite history
Cameroon
CMR
46.8
▲ WORSENING
SSA
▼ -1.0
P1·69
P2·30
P3·82
P4·52
Cameroon 7-cycle composite history
Venezuela
VEN
46.7
▲ WORSENING
LAC
▲ +0.4
P1·45
P2·46
P3·51
P4·45
Venezuela 7-cycle composite history
Israel
ISR
46.3
▲ WORSENING
MENA
P1·51
P2·41
P3·54
P4·38
Israel 7-cycle composite history
Pakistan
PAK
46.2
▲ WORSENING
SASIA
▼ -0.2
P1·45
P2·32
P3·54
P4·54
Pakistan 7-cycle composite history
Philippines
PHL
44.8
▲ WORSENING
SASIA
▲ +1.1
P1·46
P2·33
P3·51
P4·48
Philippines 7-cycle composite history
Niger
NER
44.6
▲ WORSENING
SSA
▼ -0.4
P1·53
P2·34
P3·54
P4·38
Niger 7-cycle composite history
Republic of Korea
ROK
42.4
▲ WORSENING
SASIA
▼ -0.4
P1·55
P2·24
P3·50
P4·41
Republic of Korea 7-cycle composite history
Bosnia and Herzegovina
BIH
42.3
▲ WORSENING
EEUR
▲ +0.8
P1·55
P2·31
P3·42
P4·42
Bosnia and Herzegovina 7-cycle composite history
Georgia
GEO
42.2
▲ WORSENING
EEUR
▼ -0.4
P1·56
P2·28
P3·49
P4·36
Georgia 7-cycle composite history
Indonesia
IDN
41.5
▲ WORSENING
SASIA
▼ -1.6
P1·43
P2·33
P3·50
P4·41
Indonesia 7-cycle composite history
Nepal
NPL
40.2
▲ WORSENING
SASIA
▲ +0.3
P1·44
P2·36
P3·34
P4·48
Nepal 7-cycle composite history
Eritrea
ERI
40.1
▲ WORSENING
SSA
▼ -0.3
P1·35
P2·36
P3·51
P4·39
Eritrea 7-cycle composite history
Guyana
GUY
37.0
▲ WORSENING
LAC
▲ +1.3
P1·41
P2·36
P3·44
P4·27
Guyana 7-cycle composite history
Moldova
MDA
36.9
▲ WORSENING
EEUR
▼ -1.1
P1·40
P2·24
P3·47
P4·37
Moldova 7-cycle composite history
Egypt
EGY
34.8
▲ WORSENING
MENA
▼ -1.0
P1·27
P2·31
P3·40
P4·42
Egypt 7-cycle composite history
Taiwan
TWN
34.4
▲ WORSENING
SASIA
▲ +0.2
P1·36
P2·29
P3·45
P4·28
Taiwan 7-cycle composite history
Azerbaijan
AZE
32.5
▲ WORSENING
EEUR
▼ -3.0
P1·0
P2·0
P3·0
P4·0
Azerbaijan 7-cycle composite history
Armenia
ARM
24.0
▲ WORSENING
EEUR
▼ -1.1
P1·44
P2·20
P3·29
P4·26
Armenia 7-cycle composite history
Turks and Caicos Islands
TCA
16.4
▲ WORSENING
LAC
▼ -0.8
P1·8
P2·19
P3·22
P4·17
Turks and Caicos Islands 7-cycle composite history